Tensions in Nigeria’s oil-rich river state may be exacerbated after weeks of political uncertainty and protests as President Bola Tinubu and Governor Siminalayi Fubara engage in quiet diplomacy that could reshape the region’s leadership.
According to the Africa Report, President Tinob met with Governor Forbala, who was suspended at a private meeting last week on March 18, 2025.
The meeting was held in London shortly after Tinubu returned from Paris, which was reportedly initiated by Governor Fobara. Fubara has longed for returning to office since the president declared a state of emergency in Rivers.
“It’s true. Governor Fobala held a private meeting with the president last week. Fubara has promised some compromises. Negotiations are underway, but by all signs his suspension will be cancelled by the six-month deadline”, the presidential adviser spoke anonymously, confirming the report to Africa.
Forbala is also reportedly willing to join all the Progress Conference (APC) to gain favor with the president, which could strengthen the APC prospects in Rivers State. “If Fubara joins the APC, it means the president has a much higher chance of winning River State,” the assistant pointed out.
But Nyesom Wike, the estranged political godfather of Fubara (currently served as the federal capital’s territorial minister), was reportedly not part of the meeting and was uncomfortable with the discussion behind the scenes. However, Tinubu is expected to promote a meeting between Forbala, Vick and Rivers State Assemblymen to resolve the ongoing crisis in the state.
Political turmoil on the riverside began on March 18, when President Tinob paused after two oil pipelines exploded. Security officials tracked the blast to a dispute between Forbala and 27 state lawmakers loyal to Vick. These lawmakers, under Wick’s influence, attempted to impeach governor alleged constitutional violations, including allegations related to bombing in the state assembly building.
Given that Nigeria has about 60% of government revenue and 90% of foreign exchange rates depend on oil revenue, President Tinubu’s government decided to declare a state of emergency in the River State to prevent further instability. Tinubu appointed former Navy Chief Ibok-Ete Ibas as the sole executive of Rivers State, granting him state power throughout the state.
The statement has been criticized for several quarters, including organized labor, opposition, Nigerian Bar Association and the media. Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, the main opposition figure, called the move a “power grab” ahead of the 2027 election. However, Tinubu defended his decision, believing he has constitutional authority to declare a state of emergency, despite having previously criticized President Olusegun Obasanjo for taking similar actions in 2005. The statement was later recognized by the Nigerian Parliament.
Since the suspension of Fubara, Rivers State has protested weekly and several court cases, and the governor has been criticized for not taking a more confident stance. Despite this, Fubara has publicly called for continued support for Tinubu, urging the people of Rivers to support the president.
The political future of river states remains uncertain as negotiations continue to be behind closed doors, but there are signs that the resolution may be within scope, with both Tinubu and Fubara struggling to resolve resolutions that may stabilize the country and avoid further turmoil.
