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Iran is reportedly considering a temporary nuclear deal in ongoing negotiations with the United States, which may pave the way for broader long-term deals.
The move comes within a growing tension and a pressing deadline set by the United States.
According to Axios, Iranian officials believe it is unrealistic to reach a comprehensive agreement within two months set by President Donald Trump. As a result, Tehran may push for temporary arrangements to ease tensions and provide more time for substantive negotiations.
The proposed temporary deal will include several key offers in Iran:
Some uranium enrichment activities have been suspended.
Reduce the reserves of enriched uranium to 60%.
The grant of UN inspectors has expanded access to its nuclear facilities.
While these steps will only slightly delay Iran’s potential for developing nuclear weapons, experts believe the move can help rebuild trust and momentum for further negotiations.
It is also speculated that temporary transactions can be related to the kickback mechanism – the provisions in the 2015 nuclear agreement allow for the automatic resumption of UN sanctions if Iran fails to comply. The mechanism is scheduled to expire in October.
But to propose a temporary deal, Trump may need to suspend his “maximum pressure” campaign, a hard-line approach designed to weaken the Iranian economy. It is still uncertain whether the US president is willing.
During the 2024 campaign, Trump expressed openness to a new nuclear deal with Iran, suggesting a potential shift with his earlier hardline stance. This is reported that Iran planned allegations of assassination of the former president, which the U.S. government took seriously.
Despite his willingness to speak, Trump continues to put pressure on Iran. In early February, he resumed economic restrictions aimed at reducing Iranian oil exports to zero and preventing the country from developing nuclear weapons.
On February 6, the U.S. Treasury Department imposed sanctions on international networks, accused of pooling oil revenues to the Iranian military and bypassing existing restrictions.
Bloomberg reported in March that Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to assist Trump in negotiations with Iran and added another layer of complexity to the ongoing discussions.
The original Iran nuclear agreement (formally known as the Joint Integrated Action Plan (JCPOA)) was signed by Iran, the United States, the United Kingdom, France, China, Russia, Germany and the European Union in 2015. The agreement requires Iran to reduce its nuclear activities in exchange for lifting international sanctions.
In 2018, the Trump administration withdrew from the deal and reimposed sanctions, prompting Tehran to restore uranium abundance. Under President Biden, indirect negotiations were initiated to restore the agreement, but the efforts went bankrupt in late 2022, when the United States accused Iran of making unreasonable demands on the IAEA’s investigation of undisclosed nuclear activities.
Since then, the deal has been seen as a “desktop” and Trump returns to the presidency, strengthening a more aggressive approach.
